Main Thrust of Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Has Begun
Ukraine seems to have launched the main thrust of its counteroffensive. The coming weeks will likely determine whether the operation succeeds.
Author Archives: John Hardie
More Evidence That Russia’s Making Iranian Drones
Further evidence has emerged indicating Russia has begun making Iranian kamikaze drones or at least prototypes thereof.
Crimean Bridge Damaged by Ukrainian Strike
Ukraine apparently struck the Crimean Bridge using unmanned surface vehicles. However, it will likely have a limited impact on Russian military logistics.
France Sends SCALP-EG Missiles to Ukraine
Kyiv’s new French-supplied missiles will help the Ukrainian military degrade Russian logistics and command and control.
Has Russia Begun Producing Iranian-Designed Suicide Drones?
New evidence suggests Moscow is getting closer to producing Iranian-designed suicide drones in Russia.
Russia’s National Guard to Get Tanks Following Wagner Mutiny
The head of Russia’s National Guard said his troops will receive tanks and other heavy equipment following Wagner’s mutiny.
Kyiv Strikes Key Bridge Connecting Crimea to Mainland Ukraine
The Ukrainian military on Thursday struck a key bridge connecting the Crimean Peninsula to the Russian-occupied part of Kherson Oblast. The strike aims to degrade Russia’s ability to resist the counteroffensive Kyiv launched earlier this month. On Thursday morning, Vladimir Saldo, the Russian-installed head of Kherson Oblast, shared footage showing a large hole in the […]
Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Two Weeks In
Two weeks into its counteroffensive, Ukraine has made some initial gains while also suffering losses. The operation has yet to reach its decisive phase.
Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Has Likely Begun
Ukraine launched a flurry of localized offensives across the battlefield on June 4 and 5, most notably in Russian-occupied southern Donetsk Oblast. These attacks likely aim merely to probe Russian defenses or divert Russia’s attention from a forthcoming larger offensive. Nevertheless, the early stages of Kyiv’s much-anticipated counteroffensive appear to have begun. Ukraine reportedly launched […]
Moscow Shakes Up Command of Its Forces in Ukraine (Again)
Moscow’s latest command shake-up likely reflects internal power politics and bodes poorly for Russia’s war effort in Ukraine.
Estimating Russia’s Kh-101 Production Capacity
Data from downed Kh-101 cruise missiles suggests that despite sanctions, Russian production of these (and perhaps other) missiles not only persists but may be greater than some previously thought.
In an About-Face, Russia Announces Mobilization and ‘Referendums’ in Occupied Ukrainian Territories
In a televised address on Wednesday morning, President Vladimir Putin promised to ensure the security of upcoming “referendums” in occupied Ukrainian territories and declared Russia would conduct a “partial mobilization.” These announcements represent an about-face from the Kremlin’s position on these issues mere days ago, likely reflecting Putin’s realization that drastic measures are necessary to […]
Ukraine’s Counteroffensives in Kharkiv and Kherson and the Road Ahead
Ukraine’s stunning victory in Kharkiv Oblast has reshaped the battlefield and dealt a powerful blow to Vladimir Putin’s ambitions in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces continue to wage a more gradual but no less important counteroffensive in southern Ukraine. This analysis will unpack them both and highlight some factors that will shape the road ahead. Kharkiv […]