A classified report by Germany’s foreign intelligence agency says that insider attacks against NATO forces are likely to increase, the Taliban reintegration program will be ineffective, Afghan and US peace talks with the Taliban will go nowhere, Afghan president Hamid Karzai is more likely to defer to insurgents than institute needed reforms, and a greater commitment of foreign troops will be needed to stabilize the country after 2014. The head of the German military recently predicted that Afghanistan will be a mandate “according to Chapter VII of the UN Charter.”
